Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade des Peupliers (Bavois)


	Bavois		Baden

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.2
	1.98	3.35	3.35
	2.02	3.45	3.48
	2.05	3.45	3.49	Watch
	1.97	3.36	3.4
	1.98	3.35	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bavois
45.9%

Draw
27.1%

Baden
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.2%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

26.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bavois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Baden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bavois than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baden than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Bavois - Baden Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bavois (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Brenet M. (G) 25. Diallo T. 22. Rodrigues M. 15. Ivanov K. 23. Sarr O. 18. Ribeiro L. 10. Iseni B. 8. Rochat T. 7. Alvarez A. (C) 29. Mobulu R. 6. Mandaka J.	1. Mazzeo M. (G) 2. Kunz S. 5. Monney T. 3. Isufi E. 4. Fazlic E. 7. Romano D. (C) 8. Rodriguez F. 12. Holcbecher M. 16. Kalt J. 19. Zivkovic N. 25. Haile-Selassie K.
Substitutes
19. Bajrami L. 17. Bega I. 9. Begzadic M. 20. Guignard L. 26. Maniere J. (G) 24. Ouhafsa A. 3. Popovich N.	18. Abubakar K. (G) 43. Azizi L. 14. Brack J. 13. Iodice K. 11. Morina A. 44. Oussadit Y. 22. Solimando F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
22', Kalt J. 🟨,
44', Rochat T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Iseni B. (Pen),
62', Ribeiro L. ↓, Ouhafsa A. ↑,
69', Haile-Selassie K. ↓, Brack J. ↑,
74', Fazlic E. 🟨,
75', Alvarez A. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
75', Rochat T. ↓, Bega I. ↑,
82', Zivkovic N. ↓, Iodice K. ↑,
82', Rodriguez F. ↓, Morina A. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Bavois is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Baden is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bavois could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bavois will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bavois won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Bavois won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bavois
Swiss Promotion League
12.04.25	Lugano II - Bavois	0:0 ✺
09.04.25	Bavois - Young Boys II	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Bavois - Vevey	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Delémont - Bavois	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Bavois - Paradiso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWLW
- FC Baden
Swiss Promotion League
09.04.25	Grand-Saconnex - Baden	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Baden - Luzern II	1:5 ✺
23.03.25	Baden - Zurich II	1:3 ✺
16.03.25	Biel-Bienne - Baden	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Baden - Brühl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
19.10.24	Baden - Bavois	1:0
01.04.23	Baden - Bavois	0:1
24.09.22	Bavois - Baden	1:3

Bavois - Baden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide