Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Lugano II		Bavois

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.70	1.73
	3.90	3.60	1.72
	3.69	3.89	1.78
	3.76	4.07	1.79	Watch
	3.60	3.80	1.74
	3.81	3.84	1.73
	3.65	4.00	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.67)	3.84 ↓ (3.96)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano II
24.4%

Draw
23.6%

Bavois
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

23%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Bavois has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lugano II - Bavois Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Jaquenoud L. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Raffa C. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Davis A. ⚽,
41', 3 - 1, Zurmuhle B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 3 - 2, Hautier J. ⚽,

Preview

Bavois has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lugano II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bavois is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Lugano II	10	3	0	7	15:22	-7	9
16	Bavois	10	2	2	6	10:12	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano II
Swiss Promotion League
15.08.26	Lugano II - Luzern II	4:3 ✺
02.08.26	Lugano II - Bulle	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Lugano II - Young Fellows Juventus	0:1 ✺
Swiss Promotion League
30.05.26	Kreuzlingen - Lugano II	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Lugano II - Lausanne II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLTT
- Bavois
Swiss Promotion League
22.08.26	Bavois - Brühl	0:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
15.08.26	Bavois - Servette	0:7 ✺
Swiss Promotion League
01.08.26	Bellinzona - Bavois	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	La Sarraz-Éclépens - Bavois	0:8 ✺
22.07.26	Echallens - Bavois	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
25.04.26	Bavois - Lugano II	4:1
19.10.25	Lugano II - Bavois	1:1
12.04.25	Lugano II - Bavois	0:0
23.03.24	Bavois - Lugano II	3:1
16.09.23	Lugano II - Bavois	2:1

Lugano II - Bavois: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide