Match Info
Promotion LeagueDate: 20 September 2025, Saturday
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Bavois |
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Paradiso |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.85 |
3.65 |
3.4 |
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1.85 |
3.8 |
3.71 |
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 |
1.87 |
3.7 |
3.53 |
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 |
2.14 |
3.31 |
2.5 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↓ (2.24) |
3.62 ↑ (3.45) |
3.29 ↑ (2.72) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bavois 47.2% | Draw 25.2% | Paradiso 27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bavois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bavois's performance.Paradiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paradiso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bavois than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bavois that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paradiso than the current prediction. (+4.3%)Bavois - Paradiso Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Rasic F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 2, D'Agostino G. ⚽,
- 54', 1 - 2, Ouhafsa A. (Pen),
- 82', 2 - 2, Figueiredo G. (Pen),
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Ribeiro L. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15).Bavois is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Paradiso has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Bavois could have a small edge in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bavois won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Bavois won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Swiss Promotion League | | | 15.03.25 | Bavois - Paradiso | 1:0 | | 07.09.24 | Paradiso - Bavois | 1:0 | | 18.05.24 | Paradiso - Bavois | 2:0 | | 11.11.23 | Bavois - Paradiso | 1:2 |
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