Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Bavois		Biel-Bienne

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.8	3.45
	1.79	4.05	3.74
	1.87	4.67	3.12
	2.22	3.65	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.25)	4.04 ↑ (3.58)	3.26 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bavois
48.5%

Draw
23%

Biel-Bienne
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

25.4%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

24%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bavois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bavois's performance.

Biel-Bienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Biel-Bienne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bavois than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bavois that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biel-Bienne than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Bavois - Biel Bienne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Dzonlagic O. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Ouhafsa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 2 - 1, Eleouet A. ⚽,
71', Nsakala A. 🟨,
80', 3 - 1, Eleouet A. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, Mader M. ⚽,
90+5', Paviot D. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bavois won 2.

Bavois has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Biel-Bienne is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bavois might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bavois won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.4:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bavois won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bavois
Swiss Promotion League
04.10.25	Grand-Saconnex - Bavois	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Young Boys II - Bavois	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bavois - Paradiso	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Basel II - Bavois	1:4 ✺
06.09.25	Bavois - Bulle	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWT
- FC Biel-Bienne
Swiss Promotion League
05.10.25	Biel-Bienne - Young Boys II	3:2 ✺
27.09.25	Paradiso - Biel-Bienne	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Basel II - Biel-Bienne	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Bulle - Biel-Bienne	1:4 ✺
07.09.25	Biel-Bienne - Zurich II	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
11.05.25	Biel-Bienne - Bavois	1:2
02.11.24	Bavois - Biel-Bienne	1:2
27.03.24	Biel-Bienne - Bavois	4:0
23.09.23	Bavois - Biel-Bienne	2:3
25.03.23	Bavois - Biel-Bienne	3:0
21.11.21	Biel-Bienne - Bavois	4:2
Swiss Cup
12.08.17	Biel-Bienne - Bavois	3:1

Bavois - Biel-Bienne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide