Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Bellinzona		Bavois

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.70	1.75
	3.55	3.25	1.89
	3.72	3.93	1.83	Watch
	3.50	3.60	1.79
	3.75	3.68	1.78
	3.60	3.70	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (3.74)	3.64 ↓ (3.8)	1.81 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bellinzona
25%

Draw
24.9%

Bavois
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

24.2%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bellinzona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Bavois has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Bellinzona - Bavois Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Bavois is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bellinzona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bavois is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Bavois	10	2	2	6	10:12	-2	8
18	Bellinzona	10	1	2	7	7:22	-15	5

Last Results with these Odds

Bavois - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.29%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League
15.05.26	Étoile Carouge - Bellinzona	2:2 ✺
11.05.26	Bellinzona - Wil 1900	2:4 ✺
08.05.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Bellinzona	5:0 ✺
03.05.26	Bellinzona - Rapperswil-Jona	2:4 ✺
26.04.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Bellinzona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLL
- Bavois
Club Friendly
25.07.26	La Sarraz-Éclépens - Bavois	0:8 ✺
22.07.26	Echallens - Bavois	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Bavois - Meyrin	1:0 ✺
15.07.26	Bavois - Chênois	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Bavois - Portalban Gletterens	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
30.10.21	Bellinzona - Bavois	2:0
28.04.21	Bavois - Bellinzona	0:0
28.09.19	Bellinzona - Bavois	0:0
30.03.19	Bavois - Bellinzona	3:2
09.09.18	Bellinzona - Bavois	1:1

Bellinzona - Bavois: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide