Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion (Bayreuth)

Referee: Hildenbrand M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Bayreuth		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	2.05
	3.3	3.5	2.05
	3.2	3.45	2.06
	3.25	3.5	2.05
	3.42	3.74	2.11
	3.2	3.3	2.05
	3.26	3.64	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.3)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	2.06 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
28.5%

Draw
26.3%

Rot-Weiß Essen
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.6%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayreuth's form might have worsened.

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rot-Weiß Essen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayreuth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rot-Weiß Essen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	26.7%	33.3%

Bayreuth - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bayreuth will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayreuth: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Rot-Weiß Essen is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
22.08.22	Zwickau - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Bayreuth - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
10.08.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Bayreuth	4:1 ✺
06.08.22	Bayreuth - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.07.22	Bayreuth - Hamburger SV	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLL
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
20.08.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0 ✺
09.08.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	1:4 ✺
05.08.22	Duisburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:2 ✺
23.07.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Elversberg	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLTL

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