Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)

Referee: Behrens K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund II		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.3
	2.85	3.3	2.22
	2.93	3.75	2.35
	2.84	3.58	2.3
	2.8	3.4	2.2
	2.82	3.53	2.32	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.51)	3.48 ↑ (3.44)	2.27 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
32.6%

Draw
26.6%

Rot-Weiß Essen
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.8%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26.6%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Borussia Dortmund II - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia Dortmund II: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 27. Lelle D. 34. Luhrs Y. 15. Huning B. 42. Kabar A. 38. Watjen K. 37. Campbell C. 5. Foti A. 14. Eberwein M. (C) 10. Elongo-Yombo R. 23. Paulina J.	1. Golz J. (G) 23. Rios Alonso J. 4. Schultz M. (C) 33. Kraulich T. 2. Eitschberger J. 5. Gjasula K. 28. Moustier T. 14. Brumme L. 11. Safi R. 6. Arslan A. 27. Martinovic D.
Substitutes
39. Aning P. 6. Azhil A. 7. Besong P. 26. Drakas B. 33. Estevao T. (G) 43. Krevsun D. 2. Mogultay B. 36. Reitz T.	30. Aninkorah-Meisel K. O. 22. Boyamba J. 29. Doumbouya M. 8. Kaparos J. 16. Kourouma M. 24. Mizuta K. 19. Voufack E. 3. Wagner M. 35. Wienand F. (G)
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Koschinat U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Kabar A. 🟨,
27', Gjasula K. 🟨,
44', Huning B. ↓, Krevsun D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Safi R. ↓, Wagner M. ↑,
64', Brumme L. ↓, Mizuta K. ↑,
67', Kabar A. 🟨,
70', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Mogultay B. ↑,
81', Campbell C. ↓, Azhil A. ↑,
81', Foti A. ↓, Aning P. ↑,
81', Paulina J. ↓, Reitz T. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Mizuta K. ⚽, Gjasula K. (A),
86', Eitschberger J. ↓, Doumbouya M. ↑,
86', Martinovic D. ↓, Voufack E. ↑,
90+2', Moustier T. ↓, Kaparos J. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 1.

Borussia Dortmund II is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rot-Weiß Essen is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Hettwer J. (Back Injury) Irorere F. (Foot Injury) Paschke F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rot-Weiß Essen: Celebi E. (Muscle Injury) Kaiser N. (Knee Injury) Musel T. (Back Injury) Wintzheimer M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia Dortmund II: Drakas B. (Illness) Mane F. (Muscle Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:24 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia Dortmund II won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
22.02.25	Alemannia Aachen - Borussia Dortmund II	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Sandhausen	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Osnabrück - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Hansa Rostock	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Arminia Bielefeld	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLLL
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
22.02.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hannover II	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
25.09.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1
17.03.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund II	4:0
13.10.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2
19.02.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0
13.08.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0
German Regionalliga West
17.03.21	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1
20.09.20	Borussia Dortmund II - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1

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