Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 22

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Hans-Walter-Wild-Stadion (Bayreuth)

Referee: Sather A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Bayreuth		Wehen Wiesbaden

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.57
	4.8	3.9	1.65
	4.5	4.1	1.6
	3.65	3.85	1.75
	5.21	4.28	1.64
	5	3.6	1.57
	4.8	4.15	1.6	Watch
	4.7	3.75	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (3.67)	3.95 ↑ (3.85)	1.62 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
19.8%

Draw
23.4%

Wehen Wiesbaden
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

23.7%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

23.7%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayreuth's form might have worsened.

Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wehen Wiesbaden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayreuth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wehen Wiesbaden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Bayreuth - Wehen Wiesbaden Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bayreuth will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Wehen will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wehen: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)).

Recent matches Bayreuth is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wehen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wehen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wehen is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bayreuth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
03.02.23	Freiburg II - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Bayreuth - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Bayreuth	4:0 ✺
15.01.23	Bayreuth - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.12.22	Bayreuth - 1860 München	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LWLWW
- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 3 Bundesliga
04.02.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Hallescher - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:3 ✺
14.01.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
10.08.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Bayreuth	4:1

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