Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 19

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Sparkassen-Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue)

Referee: Cortus B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Erzgebirge Aue		Bayreuth

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.33
	1.71	3.75	4.5
	1.68	3.65	4.6
	1.75	3.7	4.3
	1.75	3.97	4.71
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.73	3.78	4.33	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)	3.7 ↑ (3.45)	4.4 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
53.9%

Draw
25.1%

Bayreuth
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

Erzgebirge Aue - Bayreuth Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Bayreuth will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Aue in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aue is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Aue to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
16.01.23	Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus	3:1 ✺
07.01.23	Nürnberg - Erzgebirge Aue	3:3 ✺
05.01.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg	5:1 ✺
11.12.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWTWW
- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
15.01.23	Bayreuth - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.12.22	Bayreuth - 1860 München	4:2 ✺
17.12.22	LASK Linz - Bayreuth	0:0 ✺
02.12.22	Eintracht Braunschweig - Bayreuth	Canceled ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
13.11.22	Viktoria Köln - Bayreuth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 46.1 WWT?L

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