The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Verl 35.8%
Draw 26.6%
Wehen Wiesbaden 37.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
24.9%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
24.7%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Verl's form might have worsened.
Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wehen Wiesbaden's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wehen Wiesbaden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
57.1%
28.6%
Verl - Wehen Wiesbaden Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Wehen will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schulze P. (G) 20. Mhamdi O. 5. Ens M. 3. Kohler E. 19. Kijewski N. (C) 8. Waidner D. 28. Otto Y. 10. Taz B. 30. Gayret T. 23. Besio A. 11. Steczyk D.
16. Stritzel F. (G) 21. Wohlers O. 27. Gillekens J. 15. Janitzek J. 5. May N. 37. Schleimer L. 11. Gozusirin T. 14. Kiomourtzoglou O. 20. Johansson R. 28. Flotho M. 29. Kaya F. (C)
Substitutes
9. Arweiler J. 21. Knost T. 14. Lehmann P. 17. Mesanovic A. 27. Onuoha C. 34. Otto F. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 7. Stark J. 24. Stocker M.
25. Agrafiotis N. 44. Becker J. 8. Bogicevic D. 31. Brdar N. (G) 6. Fechner G. 18. Greilinger F. 33. Luckeneder F. 22. Nejad M. 24. Neubert T.
Coaches
Strobl T.
Doring N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Schleimer L. ⚽, Flotho M. (A),
18', 0 - 2, Flotho M. ⚽,
22', Schleimer L. 🟨,
34', 1 - 2, Otto Y. ⚽, Taz B. (A),
38', Taz B. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Flotho M. ↓, Agrafiotis N. ↑,
62', Wohlers O. ↓, Fechner G. ↑,
65', Agrafiotis N. 🟨,
67', Steczyk D. ↓, Onuoha C. ↑,
68', Besio A. ↓, Arweiler J. ↑,
71', Schleimer L. ↓, Bogicevic D. ↑,
71', Johansson R. ↓, Greilinger F. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Taz B. ⚽, Gayret T. (A),
76', Kiomourtzoglou O. 🟨,
82', Otto Y. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
84', Gozusirin T. ↓, Nejad M. ↑,
90+3', Gayret T. ↓, Mesanovic A. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verl won 2.
Verl is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Wehen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Wehen has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Verl won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Verl won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Wehen Wiesbaden - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.76%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.