Match Info

Mocambola - Round 19

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday


	Baía de Pemba		Ferroviario Lichinga

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.65	3.00
	2.4	2.62	3.1
	2.21	2.81	2.92
	2.29	3.01	3.09	Watch
	2.16	2.75	2.8
	2.32	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.32)	2.79 ↑ (2.7)	2.97 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baía de Pemba
38.5%

Draw
31.7%

Ferroviario Lichinga
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

33%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baía de Pemba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Ferroviario Lichinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 6).

Ferroviario Lichinga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Baía de Pemba will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baía de Pemba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Including home match between the teams, Baía de Pemba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ferroviario Lichinga	17	8	4	5	16:13	3	28
10	Baia de Pemba	17	4	7	6	9:12	-3	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baía de Pemba FC
Mozambique Moçambola
19.08.26	Baía de Pemba - Costa do Sol	1:0 ✺
06.08.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Baía de Pemba	0:0 ✺
18.06.26	Baía de Pemba - ENH Vilankulo	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Baía de Pemba - Costa do Sol	0:0 ✺
01.10.25	Black Bulls - Baía de Pemba	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WTTTL
- Ferroviario Lichinga
Mozambique Moçambola
10.08.26	Ferroviario Lichinga - Chingale de Tete	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Ferroviario Lichinga - UD Songo	1:1 ✺
27.07.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviario Lichinga	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Black Bulls - Ferroviario Lichinga	1:0 ✺
26.06.26	Ferroviario Lichinga - Costa do Sol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
10.08.25	Baía de Pemba - Ferroviario Lichinga	2:2

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