Match Info

Mocambola - Round 11

Date: 27 July 2026, Monday


	Ferroviário de Maputo		Ferroviario Lichinga

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.75	4.33
	1.9	2.88	4.25
	1.95	2.91	4.22	Watch
	1.8	2.65	4.55
	1.92	2.8	4.93
	1.88	2.85	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.85)	2.81 ↓ (2.87)	4.41 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário de Maputo
47.6%

Draw
32%

Ferroviario Lichinga
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

30.9%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário de Maputo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ferroviario Lichinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviario Lichinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5).

Ferroviario Lichinga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferro de Maputo is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ferro de Maputo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferro de Maputo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ferroviario Lichinga	17	8	4	5	16:13	3	28
7	Ferroviario Maputo	19	7	5	7	14:11	3	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário de Maputo
Mozambique Moçambola
25.06.26	ENH Vilankulo - Ferroviário de Maputo	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário da Beira	0:1 ✺
18.06.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Sofala	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Ferroviário de Maputo - Maxaquene	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Costa do Sol - Ferroviário de Maputo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWWL
- Ferroviario Lichinga
Mozambique Moçambola
24.07.26	Black Bulls - Ferroviario Lichinga	1:0 ✺
26.06.26	Ferroviario Lichinga - Costa do Sol	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	ENH Vilankulo - Ferroviario Lichinga	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	Chingale de Tete - Ferroviario Lichinga	Canceled ✺
26.11.25	Black Bulls - Ferroviario Lichinga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWT?T

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
19.05.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviario Lichinga	1:1
09.08.24	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviario Lichinga	2:1
15.05.23	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviario Lichinga	0:1
10.10.22	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviario Lichinga	1:0

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