Match Info

Date: 7 April 2021, Wednesday


	Bačka		Radnik Surdulica

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.37
	2.65	3.15	2.25
	2.7	3.15	2.33
	2.87	3.5	2.4
	2.75	3.2	2.35
	2.76	3.3	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.44)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	2.35 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka
33.2%

Draw
27.9%

Radnik Surdulica
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.6%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

21.7%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bačka's performance.

Radnik Surdulica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radnik Surdulica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bačka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radnik Surdulica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bačka - Radnik Surdulica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga and 7).

Bačka is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Radnik is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bačka won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Bačka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bačka Bačka Palanka
Serbian Superliga
03.04.21	Javor Ivanjica - Bačka	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Bačka - Partizan	0:4 ✺
14.03.21	Napredak Kruševac - Bačka	2:1 ✺
08.03.21	Bačka - Mladost Lučani	1:1 ✺
03.03.21	Voždovac - Bačka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLTL
- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga
03.04.21	Radnik Surdulica - Zlatibor Čajetina	2:1 ✺
21.03.21	Rad - Radnik Surdulica	2:0 ✺
15.03.21	Radnik Surdulica - Vojvodina	2:2 ✺
Serbian Cup
11.03.21	Bačka Topola - Radnik Surdulica	1:2 penalties ✺
Serbian Superliga
07.03.21	Inđija - Radnik Surdulica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
16.10.20	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka	1:0
13.04.19	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka	1:1
15.12.18	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka	3:2
25.08.18	Bačka - Radnik Surdulica	1:0
Club Friendly
04.07.18	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka	0:1
Serbian Superliga
25.04.18	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka	2:0
07.03.18	Bačka - Radnik Surdulica	4:2

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