Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday

Location: TSC Arena (Bačka Topola)

Referee: Barbu M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
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Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 12
Greece	ANT 1+
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Malaysia	beIN Connect
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Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	DAZN 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 17
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Bačka Topola		Noah Yerevan

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.9
	2.2	3.4	2.85
	2.3	3.6	2.9
	2.33	3.67	3.1
	2.18	3.69	2.97	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.8
	2.24	3.87	3.02
	2.3	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.11)	3.62 ↑ (3.46)	2.93 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka Topola
41.8%

Draw
26.1%

Noah Yerevan
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.2%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

28.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Noah Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	27.3%	13.6%

Bačka Topola - Noah Yerevan Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Bačka Topola will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Noah will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bačka Topola: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ilic V. (G) 30. Petrovic N. (C) 5. Stevanovic D. 25. Djordjevic M. 35. Djakovac I. 14. Stanic P. 22. Jovanovic S. 7. Radin M. 10. Cirkovic A. 29. Mboungou V. 27. Pantovic M.	92. Ploshchadnyi A. (G) 7. Ferreira H. 37. Silva G. 3. Muradyan S. 26. Miljkovic A. (C) 81. Oulad Omar I. 17. Sangare G. 10. Dashyan A. 11. Cinari E. 9. Matheus Aias 93. Pinson V.
Substitutes
18. Banjac M. 31. Capan L. 24. Gordic D. 23. Jorgic N. (G) 4. Krstic V. 9. Lazetic M. 11. Milosavljevic I. 6. Pejic A. 1. Simic N. (G) 88. Sos B.	18. Avanesyan A. 29. Coneglian A. (G) 88. Eteki Y. 8. Gregorio G. 19. Hambardzumyan H. 27. Manvelyan G. 14. Mendoza B. 28. Pablo 30. Petrosyan G. 4. Thorarinsson G.
Coaches
Damjanovic J.	Mota R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Matheus Aias ⚽, Pinson V. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Ferreira H. ⚽, Pinson V. (A),
36', Dashyan A. ↓, Avanesyan A. ↑,
41', 1 - 2, Stanic P. ⚽, Cirkovic A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Miljkovic A. ↓, Hambardzumyan H. ↑,
49', 1 - 3, Matheus Aias ⚽,
60', Cirkovic A. ↓, Banjac M. ↑,
60', Stevanovic D. ↓, Capan L. ↑,
63', Banjac M. 🟨,
68', Oulad Omar I. ↓, Manvelyan G. ↑,
68', Matheus Aias ↓, Gregorio G. ↑,
74', Djakovac I. (Pen),
75', 2 - 3, Djakovac I. ⚽,
76', 3 - 3, Djakovac I. ⚽, Pantovic M. (A),
81', 4 - 3, Pantovic M. ⚽,
86', Cinari E. 🟨,
86', Capan L. 🟨,
89', Pantovic M. ↓, Pejic A. ↑,
90+5', Radin M. 🟨,
90+7', Sangare G. ↓, Petrosyan G. ↑,
90+7', Djordjevic M. ↓, Krstic V. ↑,
90+8', Ilic V. 🟨,

Preview

Bačka Topola is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Noah is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Noah could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Noah have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Noah: Cancarevic O. (Collarbone injury) Gambos M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bačka Topola: Kuveljic N. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
15.12.24	Bačka Topola - Vojvodina	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Gent - Bačka Topola	3:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
08.12.24	Spartak Subotica - Bačka Topola	0:0 ✺
04.12.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Bačka Topola	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Bačka Topola - Radnički Niš	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLW
- FC Noah Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
15.12.24	Noah Yerevan - West Armenia	7:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Noah Yerevan - APOEL	1:3 ✺
Armenian Premier League
04.12.24	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Noah Yerevan - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
24.11.24	Pyunik - Noah Yerevan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTW

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