Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:45	Disney+
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Chile	14:45	Disney+
Colombia	12:45	Disney+
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 16
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 8
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	Noah Yerevan		APOEL

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.55
	2.75	3	2.45
	2.85	3.2	2.55
	2.92	3.17	2.63
	2.77	3.2	2.56	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.3
	2.95	3.14	2.64
	2.85	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.6)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	2.53 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noah Yerevan
33.1%

Draw
29.8%

APOEL
37.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

26.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

26.7%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noah Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

APOEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	35.3%	17.6%

Noah Yerevan - APOEL Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Noah will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). APOEL will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Noah: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Ploshchadnyi A. (G) 14. Mendoza B. 3. Muradyan S. 37. Silva G. 26. Miljkovic A. (C) 10. Dashyan A. 81. Oulad Omar I. 17. Sangare G. 11. Cinari E. 9. Matheus Aias 7. Ferreira H.	27. Belec V. (C) 3. Petrovic R. 16. Susic M. 19. Quintilla X. 29. Chebake I. 34. Laifis K. 8. Tejera S. 18. Satsias G. 70. Kostadinov G. 9. El Arabi Y. 11. Donis A.
Substitutes
18. Avanesyan A. 29. Coneglian A. (G) 88. Eteki Y. 8. Gregorio G. 19. Hambardzumyan H. 27. Manvelyan G. 28. Pablo 30. Petrosyan G. 93. Pinson V. 4. Thorarinsson G.	17. Abagna D. 12. Bah A. 22. Christodoulou A. (G) 30. Corbu M. 5. Dvali L. 23. Kattirtzis P. 7. Meyer M. 78. Michos S. (G) 77. Ndongala D. 35. Polykarpou P.
Coaches
Mota R.	Jimenez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Chebake I. ⚽, Donis A. (A),
45+3', Tejera S. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Matheus Aias ⚽, Silva G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mendoza B. ↓, Pinson V. ↑,
52', Ferreira H. 🟨,
63', Satsias G. ↓, Abagna D. ↑,
72', Donis A. ↓, Ndongala D. ↑,
72', Chebake I. ↓, Kattirtzis P. ↑,
79', Dashyan A. ↓, Gregorio G. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Kostadinov G. ⚽, Petrovic R. (A),
90+2', El Arabi Y. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Abagna D. ⚽,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Noah in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches APOEL is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Noah could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Noah have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Noah: Cancarevic O. (Collarbone injury) Gambos M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in APOEL: Sarfo K. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in APOEL: El Arabi Y. (Muscle Injury) Marquinhos (Muscle Injury) Meyer M. (Illness)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Noah Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
04.12.24	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Noah Yerevan - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
24.11.24	Pyunik - Noah Yerevan	1:3 ✺
20.11.24	Noah Yerevan - Ararat	4:0 ✺
10.11.24	Noah Yerevan - Alashkert	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWWW
- APOEL
Cypriot First Division
07.12.24	Omonia - APOEL	2:2 ✺
02.12.24	APOEL - Aris Limassol	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Molde - APOEL	0:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
23.11.24	Paphos - APOEL	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	APOEL - AEL Limassol	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWLW

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