Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 33

Date: 10 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion GOSiR (Gdynia)


	Bałtyk Gdynia		Jarota Jarocin

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.5	1.39
	4.9	4.25	1.5
	5.35	4.39	1.45
	6.5	4.2	1.36
	5.9	4.5	1.44	Watch
	4.7	4.3	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (2.2)	4.36 ↑ (3.8)	1.44 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bałtyk Gdynia
16.4%

Draw
20.8%

Jarota Jarocin
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

23.9%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

25%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bałtyk Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bałtyk Gdynia's form might have worsened.

Jarota Jarocin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jarota Jarocin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bałtyk Gdynia than the current prediction. (+26.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bałtyk Gdynia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jarota Jarocin than the current prediction. (-29.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jarota Jarocin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Bałtyk Gdynia - Jarota Jarocin Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bałtyk will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Jarota will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarota: 80.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bałtyk won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Jarota is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bałtyk won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bałtyk won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bałtyk Gdynia
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.06.23	Vineta Wolin - Bałtyk Gdynia	3:1 ✺
27.05.23	Bałtyk Gdynia - Sokół Kleczew	3:1 ✺
24.05.23	Unia Solec Kujawski - Bałtyk Gdynia	0:2 ✺
19.05.23	Bałtyk Gdynia - Swit Skolwin	1:2 ✺
14.05.23	Stolem Gniewino - Bałtyk Gdynia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLL
- Jarota Jarocin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.06.23	Jarota Jarocin - Unia Swarzędz	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Jarota Jarocin	1:1 ✺
24.05.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Jarota Jarocin	2:2 ✺
20.05.23	Jarota Jarocin - Vineta Wolin	3:2 ✺
14.05.23	Sokół Kleczew - Jarota Jarocin	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.11.22	Jarota Jarocin - Bałtyk Gdynia	0:2
18.06.22	Bałtyk Gdynia - Jarota Jarocin	1:2
13.11.21	Jarota Jarocin - Bałtyk Gdynia	0:0
12.09.20	Bałtyk Gdynia - Jarota Jarocin	1:1
09.08.19	Bałtyk Gdynia - Jarota Jarocin	0:4
11.05.19	Jarota Jarocin - Bałtyk Gdynia	1:0
14.10.18	Bałtyk Gdynia - Jarota Jarocin	5:0

Bałtyk Gdynia - Jarota Jarocin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide