Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 25

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion GOSiR (Gdynia)


	Bałtyk Gdynia		Polonia Środa Wielkopolska

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.9	1.61
	4.06	3.86	1.65
	4.25	4.2	1.63	Watch
	4.15	4.1	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↓ (5.4)	4.02 ↓ (4.85)	1.62 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bałtyk Gdynia
21.8%

Draw
22.5%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

18.6%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

18.1%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bałtyk Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bałtyk Gdynia's performance.

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polonia Środa Wielkopolska might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bałtyk Gdynia than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bałtyk Gdynia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Środa Wielkopolska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bałtyk won 1.

Recent matches Bałtyk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Polonia Środa Wielkopolska is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bałtyk won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Bałtyk won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bałtyk Gdynia
Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.04.23	Cartusia Kartuzy - Bałtyk Gdynia	1:3 ✺
01.04.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Bałtyk Gdynia	5:1 ✺
25.03.23	Bałtyk Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin II	4:3 ✺
19.03.23	Starogard Gdański - Bałtyk Gdynia	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Bałtyk Gdynia - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.5 WLWLL
- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.04.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Jarota Jarocin	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Vineta Wolin - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:3 ✺
18.03.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Sokół Kleczew	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.09.22	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Bałtyk Gdynia	4:1
30.04.22	Bałtyk Gdynia - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	4:0
25.09.21	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Bałtyk Gdynia	3:2
29.05.21	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Bałtyk Gdynia	3:0
11.04.21	Bałtyk Gdynia - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:1
27.03.21	Bałtyk Gdynia - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1
21.09.19	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Bałtyk Gdynia	1:2

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