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Current Win Probability
Beşiktaş 61.4%
Draw 22%
Altay 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.6%
21%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76.2%
17.5%
12.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Altay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beşiktaş, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altay than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Beşiktaş - Altay Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Beşiktaş has the most likely position - 7 (12.93%), has project points - 57, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Altay has the most likely position - 18 (27.47%), has project points - 35, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (82%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality34, small importance23, small match rating28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Beşiktaş is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Altay is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Altay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Beşiktaş is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Beşiktaş won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Beşiktaş won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.