The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altay 36.3%
Draw 27.5%
Alanyaspor 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
27.9%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
19.4%
45.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altay than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altay that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alanyaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Altay - Alanyaspor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).
Altay has the most likely position - 19 (20.03%), has project points - 36, has currently - 18, has a good chance of relegated (71%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Alanyaspor has the most likely position - 10 (9.61%), has project points - 53, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Altay has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Alanyaspor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Altay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Altay have a series of guest games.
Recently Alanyaspor have a series of home games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Altay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.