Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 14

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Beaconsfield Town		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.45
	2.38	3.96	2.48
	2.38	3.96	2.48
	2.4	3.62	2.45
	2.4	3.6	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (4.83)	3.75 (3.75)	2.46 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beaconsfield Town
38.3%

Draw
24.5%

Gosport Borough
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

23.8%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beaconsfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beaconsfield Town's performance.

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gosport Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beaconsfield Town than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beaconsfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gosport Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beaconsfield won 2.

Beaconsfield is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gosport is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beaconsfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Beaconsfield won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Beaconsfield won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beaconsfield Town
English Southern League South Division
21.10.23	Walton & Hersham - Beaconsfield Town	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Beaconsfield Town - Didcot Town	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Beaconsfield Town	1:3 ✺
26.09.23	Bracknell Town - Beaconsfield Town	0:3 ✺
23.09.23	Beaconsfield Town - Sholing	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 LWWWW
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
21.10.23	Gosport Borough - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Salisbury - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Gosport Borough - Salisbury	3:2 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
04.10.23	Welling United - Gosport Borough	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.04.23	Gosport Borough - Beaconsfield Town	3:2
05.11.22	Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough	3:2
26.02.22	Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough	7:2
06.11.21	Gosport Borough - Beaconsfield Town	2:1
28.09.20	Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough	0:2
07.03.20	Beaconsfield Town - Gosport Borough	0:1
22.10.19	Gosport Borough - Beaconsfield Town	0:0

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