Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 32

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Gosport Borough		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.85	4.65
	2.06	3.37	3.17
	1.6	4.16	4.86
	1.53	3.6	4.8
	1.54	3.86	5.17
	1.78	3.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.81)	3.77 ↑ (3.77)	4.4 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gosport Borough
54.8%

Draw
24.3%

Dorchester Town
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

24.2%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gosport Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+3%)

Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Kasimu H. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Wooden D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
82', 2 - 1, Robinson W. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Robinson W. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gosport won 2.

Recent form of Gosport has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Dorchester has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gosport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gosport could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gosport won 4 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:34. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gosport won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:19. (average 2.1:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Gosport	10	3	3	4	13:13	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Gosport Borough - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.49%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
07.02.26	Gosport Borough - Chertsey Town	2:2 ✺
04.02.26	Gosport Borough - Gloucester City	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Hungerford Town - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Hanwell Town - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLLW
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
14.02.26	Dorchester Town - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Yate Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Dorchester Town - Hanwell Town	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:3 ✺
14.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
29.11.25	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	2:2
08.03.25	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	0:2
13.11.24	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2
10.02.24	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	0:3
11.10.23	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2
04.03.23	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	2:2
22.10.22	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2

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