Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 32

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Gosport Borough		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.45
	2.45	3.4	2.5
	2.47	3.61	2.53
	2.42	3.42	2.49
	2.45	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.43)	3.43 ↑ (3.38)	2.49 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gosport Borough
37.2%

Draw
26.5%

Salisbury
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

26.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

27.6%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gosport Borough have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gosport won 3.

Recent matches Gosport is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Salisbury is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Salisbury could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gosport have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Gosport won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gosport won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
10.02.24	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	0:3 ✺
06.02.24	Harrow Borough - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Gosport Borough - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Totton - Gosport Borough	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Bracknell Town - Gosport Borough	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWTL
- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
10.02.24	Salisbury - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Bracknell Town - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
30.01.24	Poole Town - Salisbury	4:5 ✺
27.01.24	Salisbury - Sholing	3:0 ✺
20.01.24	Beaconsfield Town - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
14.10.23	Salisbury - Gosport Borough	2:0
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Gosport Borough - Salisbury	3:2 penalties
English Southern League South Division
11.03.23	Gosport Borough - Salisbury	0:0
31.01.23	Salisbury - Gosport Borough	1:3
18.04.22	Gosport Borough - Salisbury	1:0
01.01.22	Salisbury - Gosport Borough	0:5
25.02.20	Gosport Borough - Salisbury	0:0

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