Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 36

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Becerril		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.3	1.72
	4.76	3.45	1.7
	4.81	3.46	1.69	Watch
	4.99	3.34	1.67
	4.6	3.3	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (4.23)	3.37 ↑ (3.28)	1.7 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Becerril
19.2%

Draw
27.1%

Atlético Astorga
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

27.8%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

26.7%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Becerril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-1%)

Becerril - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Mas C. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Mas C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
74', 0 - 3, Cabral A. S. ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, Antolin A. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 4, Martin M. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Becerril won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Atlético Astorga could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

In this match, Atlético Astorga is a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Becerril won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:15 (average 0.5:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams, Becerril won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Becerril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
26.04.25	Atlético Palencia - Becerril	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Becerril - Santa Marta Tormes	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Villaralbo - Becerril	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Becerril - Briviesca	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Mojados - Becerril	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTWW
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
26.04.25	Atlético Astorga - Santa Marta Tormes	4:2 ✺
20.04.25	Villaralbo - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Atlético Astorga - Briviesca	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Mojados - Atlético Astorga	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Atlético Astorga - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
21.12.24	Atlético Astorga - Becerril	3:0
23.03.24	Atlético Astorga - Becerril	2:0
05.11.23	Becerril - Atlético Astorga	0:0
11.03.23	Atlético Astorga - Becerril	2:1
06.11.22	Becerril - Atlético Astorga	1:2
14.02.21	Becerril - Atlético Astorga	1:1
21.11.20	Atlético Astorga - Becerril	2:0

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