Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Mojados		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	7.2	4	1.4
	7.8	4.05	1.38
	7.2	4	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.4 ↓ (7.53)	4.02 ↓ (4.17)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mojados
12.3%

Draw
22.6%

Atlético Astorga
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

21.8%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

21.2%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mojados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mojados than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Mojados - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Delgado J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 0, Colino A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Mojados is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Astorga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mojados could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Atlético Astorga have a series of home games.

In this match Atlético Astorga is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mojados won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mojados
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
05.04.25	Atlético Palencia - Mojados	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Mojados - Becerril	0:3 ✺
22.03.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Mojados	7:0 ✺
08.03.25	Briviesca - Mojados	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Mojados - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLLLT
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
05.04.25	Atlético Astorga - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Atlético Astorga - Laguna de Tenerife	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Leonesa B - Atlético Astorga	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Atlético Astorga - Palencia CA	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Atlético Astorga - Atlético Mansillés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.11.24	Atlético Astorga - Mojados	2:0

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