Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)


	Genk U23		Lierse

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.55
	2.25	3.55	2.82	Watch
	2.3	3.81	2.84
	2.17	3.84	2.91	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.7
	2.23	3.53	2.86	Watch
	2.36	3.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.47)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	2.77 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk U23
40.9%

Draw
25.9%

Lierse
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.6%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

25.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Genk U23 - Lierse Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Genk U23 will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Lierse will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Brughmans L. (G) 2. Pierre K. 22. Manguelle B. (C) 56. De Wannemacker A. 84. Sarfo E. 73. Mbavu E. 86. Haroun K. 30. Yokoyama A. 89. Kim M. 67. Camara A. 50. Beniangba V.	61. Vroman K. (G) 66. Mertens J. 4. Vanderhallen S. 2. Perdichizzi P. (C) 77. Masaki H. 8. Daguin V. 6. Matuta E. 22. Van Meirvenne C. 11. El Touile S. 9. Boncina L. 10. Stanic A.
Substitutes
66. Coenen J. 52. Da Costa W. 85. Kang Min-Woo 59. Kapers W. 60. Lazar S. E. 53. Mocsnik M. 57. Murenzi A. 82. Vliegen O. (G) 87. Yasuda K.	14. De Buyser W. 27. De Peuter D. 45. De Ridder N. 1. De Smet J. (G) 58. De Vos V. 29. Sy M. 26. Van Elsuwege T. 24. Willems J. 21. Yeboah E.
Coaches
de Camargo I.	Shoffner J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', Sarfo E. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Stanic A. ⚽, Mertens J. (A),
23', Stanic A. 🟨,
27', De Wannemacker A. ↓, Yasuda K. ↑,
28', 1 - 1, Beniangba V. ⚽, Yokoyama A. (A),
45', 1 - 2, Mertens J. ⚽, Van Meirvenne C. (A),
45+4', Mertens J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', El Touile S. ↓, De Buyser W. ↑,
46', Manguelle B. ↓, Kapers W. ↑,
46', Kapers W. 🟨,
47', 1 - 3, Matuta E. ⚽, Mertens J. (A),
56', 2 - 3, Yokoyama A. ⚽, Sarfo E. (A),
63', Camara A. ↓, Lazar S. E. ↑,
74', Van Meirvenne C. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
74', Boncina L. ↓, De Vos V. ↑,
82', Sarfo E. ↓, Coenen J. ↑,
89', Vroman K. 🟨,

Preview

Genk U23 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lierse has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Genk U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Genk U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Genk U23	6	2	1	3	12:14	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
20.02.26	Anderlecht U23 - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Genk U23 - RFC Liège	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Genk U23	4:4 ✺
30.01.26	Genk U23 - Eupen	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Genk U23 - RWDM Brussels	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWTWL
- Lierse Kempenzonen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
21.02.26	Lierse - Gent U23	1:3 ✺
13.02.26	Lierse - Seraing	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	RFC Liège - Lierse	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Lierse - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Anderlecht U23 - Lierse	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
06.12.25	Lierse - Genk U23	2:1
18.04.25	Genk U23 - Lierse	1:3
22.11.24	Lierse - Genk U23	2:2

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