Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 23

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Jacoby A. (Bel)


	Genk U23		Eupen

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.83	Watch
	3.6	3.65	1.88	Watch
	3.84	3.92	1.86
	3.67	4.02	1.84	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.83
	3.68	3.64	1.81
	3.6	3.75	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.13)	3.73 ↑ (3.39)	1.84 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk U23
25.2%

Draw
24.7%

Eupen
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

27.1%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

26.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Eupen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eupen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eupen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Genk U23 - Eupen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk U23 (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Eupen (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Eupen (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Eupen will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk U23 (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Eupen (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Brughmans L. (C) 2. Pierre K. 22. Manguelle B. 34. Palacios A. 84. Sarfo E. 86. Haroun K. 56. De Wannemacker A. 79. Nzoko D. 89. Kim M. 30. Yokoyama A. 50. Beniangba V.	1. Hiller M. (G) 32. Plastun I. 28. Paeshuyse R. 21. Bokadi M. 5. Gavory N. 15. Bares G. 22. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 18. Keita A. 8. Mohwald K. 7. Nuhu I. 98. Kikas
Substitutes
72. Barry A. 67. Camara A. 66. Coenen J. 76. Driessen J. 53. Mocsnik M. 57. Murenzi A. 75. Ogbeiwi P. 82. Vliegen O. (G) 63. Zion H.	20. Atteri Z. 10. Bitumazala N. 66. Busquets O. 4. Kennedy S. 39. Meshaal M. 27. Muller M. 33. Nurudeen A. (G) 2. Van Genechten Y. 13. Youndje K.
Coaches
de Camargo I.	Pinheiro B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Nuhu I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↓, Bitumazala N. ↑,
62', Sarfo E. ↓, Barry A. ↑,
64', Bares G. 🟨,
75', 1 - 0, Palacios A. ⚽, Yokoyama A. (A),
79', Paeshuyse R. ↓, Van Genechten Y. ↑,
79', Keita A. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
79', Mohwald K. ↓, Atteri Z. ↑,
79', Bares G. ↓, Busquets O. ↑,
81', Nzoko D. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
81', Beniangba V. ↓, Coenen J. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Coenen J. ⚽, Kim M. (A),
87', Palacios A. ↓, Zion H. ↑,
87', Kim M. ↓, Mocsnik M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).

Genk U23 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Eupen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Eupen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Genk U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Eupen	6	5	0	1	13:5	8	15
10	Genk U23	6	2	1	3	12:14	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Genk U23 - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.4%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
27.01.26	Genk U23 - RWDM Brussels	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Kortrijk - Genk U23	4:1 ✺
16.01.26	Genk U23 - Lommel	0:2 ✺
17.12.25	Genk U23 - Beveren	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Lokeren - Genk U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLT
- KAS Eupen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
27.01.26	Eupen - Lokeren	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Lommel - Eupen	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Eupen - Beveren	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Eupen - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:2 ✺
18.12.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Eupen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.10.25	Eupen - Genk U23	2:1
16.02.25	Genk U23 - Eupen	0:0
27.09.24	Eupen - Genk U23	3:1

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