Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 23

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Herman Vanderpoortenstadion (Lier)

Referee: Clerkx K. (Bel)


	Lierse		Beerschot Wilrijk

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.05
	3.34	3.75	2.11
	3.28	3.76	2.03
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.24	3.5	1.98
	3.2	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.9)	3.56 ↑ (3.34)	2.02 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lierse
28.5%

Draw
25.9%

Beerschot Wilrijk
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.4%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beerschot Wilrijk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lierse - Beerschot Wilrijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Vroman K. (G) 58. De Vos V. 26. Van Elsuwege T. 6. Matuta E. 77. Masaki H. 3. Mayoka-Tika N. 36. Asare D. (C) 8. Daguin V. 22. Van Meirvenne C. 10. Stanic A. 27. De Peuter D.	33. Shinton N. (G) 2. Dagba C. 6. Van den Eynden B. 4. Plat B. 76. Gyamfi D. 78. Haraguchi G. 8. Van Eenoo L. (C) 10. Claes G. 32. Wright-Phillips D. 15. Vula A. 45. Brahic E.
Substitutes
12. Baskett K. (G) 20. Carron M. 17. Demuynck D. 18. Ekmen B. 7. Hidraoui-Akachar Y. 15. Saif-Eddine B. 29. Sy M. 44. Verbist L. 19. Vermeulen T.	1. Gies X. (G) 3. Govaers M. 19. Guendouz S. 16. Labie A. 75. Nilton 18. Sanusi R. 26. Tshimanga D. 11. Uzun E. 17. Van Himbeeck A. 7. van La Parra R.
Coaches
Shoffner J.	Messoudi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, De Peuter D. ⚽, Van Meirvenne C. (A),
25', Brahic E. ↓, Guendouz S. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Claes G. ⚽, Van Eenoo L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Van Elsuwege T. 🟨,
60', Vula A. (Penalty Awarded),
65', De Vos V. ↓, Sy M. ↑,
66', Gyamfi D. ↓, Van Himbeeck A. ↑,
74', De Peuter D. ↓, Ekmen B. ↑,
78', Van Himbeeck A. 🟨,
80', Vula A. 🟨,
83', Asare D. 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, Vula A. ⚽, Guendouz S. (A),
86', Mayoka-Tika N. ↓, Vermeulen T. ↑,
86', Matuta E. ↓, Demuynck D. ↑,
90+4', Claes G. 🟨,
90+6', Claes G. ↓, Nilton ↑,
90+6', Van Eenoo L. ↓, Sanusi R. ↑,
90+6', Wright-Phillips D. ↓, van La Parra R. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Beerschot Wilrijk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lierse has had a series of away games.

Beerschot Wilrijk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lierse won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lierse won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Beerschot VA	7	6	0	1	18:6	12	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lierse Kempenzonen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
28.01.26	Anderlecht U23 - Lierse	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Beveren - Lierse	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Lommel - Lierse	4:3 ✺
16.12.25	Lierse - Kortrijk	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Francs Borains - Lierse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLTW
- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Challenger Pro League
27.01.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - Seraing	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Lokeren - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - Yverdon	Canceled ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
20.12.25	Beveren - Beerschot Wilrijk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTW?L

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
30.08.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Lierse	1:0
25.02.18	Beerschot Wilrijk - Lierse	1:1
06.01.18	Lierse - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:1
01.10.17	Beerschot Wilrijk - Lierse	4:0
13.08.17	Lierse - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:2

Lierse - Beerschot Wilrijk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide