The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Beijing Guoan 57.3%
Draw 23.3%
Chiangrai United 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.4%
19.1%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
78.1%
16.5%
11.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beijing Guoan's form might have worsened.
Chiangrai United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chiangrai United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+20.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiangrai United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chiangrai United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
52.9%
23.5%
23.5%
Beijing Guoan - Chiangrai United Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Chiangrai United will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 36.1% โ 69.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Neutral location. No spectators.
Beijing Guoan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Chiangrai United is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chiangrai United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Beijing Guoan have a series of home games.
In this match Beijing Guoan is a favorite.
Recent matches Chiangrai United is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Last 1 head-to-head matches Beijing Guoan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.