Match Info

Date: 24 November 2020, Tuesday


	FC Seoul		Chiangrai United

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.75
	1.52	3.8	5.6	Watch
	1.53	3.85	5.8
	1.56	4.09	6.57
	1.55	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.58	4	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.58)	3.94 ↓ (4)	5.92 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Seoul
60.6%

Draw
23.7%

Chiangrai United
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

23.5%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

14.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Seoul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Chiangrai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (-24.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Seoul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangrai United than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chiangrai United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73%	5.4%	21.6%

FC Seoul - Chiangrai United Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Seoul will win (votes: 27 - 73%). Chiangrai United will win (votes: 8 - 21.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seoul: 58.7% – 87.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

Seoul is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chiangrai United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chiangrai United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Seoul have a series of home games.

In this match Seoul is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Seoul
AFC Champions League
21.11.20	FC Seoul - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
31.10.20	FC Seoul - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
24.10.20	FC Seoul - Gangwon	1:1 ✺
17.10.20	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - FC Seoul	0:1 ✺
04.10.20	FC Seoul - Busan I Park	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTWL
- Chiangrai United
Thai League 1
18.11.20	Chiangrai United - Muangthong United	2:1 ✺
10.11.20	Sukhothai - Chiangrai United	2:0 ✺
04.11.20	Police Tero - Chiangrai United	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Chiangrai United - Pathum United	0:1 ✺
25.10.20	Chonburi - Chiangrai United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWLW

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