Match Info

Super League - Round 5

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)

Referee: Jing W. (Chn)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Spain	Gol Play


	Beijing Guoan		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.7	2.82	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.78	Watch
	2.35	3.8	2.92
	2.27	3.67	2.85	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.75
	2.26	3.64	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.31)	3.65 ↑ (3.43)	2.83 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
41.2%

Draw
25.6%

Chengdu Rongcheng
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Beijing Guoan aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Chengdu Rongcheng (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 27. Wang Gang 24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 26. Bai Yang 47. Deng J. 20. Nkololo B. 7. Serginho 8. Konte A. 11. Lin Liangming 10. Zhang Xizhe (C) 29. Abreu F.	32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 4. He Yiran 18. Han Pengfei 28. Sorokin E. 2. Hu H. 10. Romulo 5. Matheus Jussa 16. Yang Ming-Yang 11. Wellington Silva 20. Wang Ziming 7. Wei Shihao (C)
Substitutes
33. Abbas Nureli (G) 37. Cao Yongjing 6. Chi Zhongguo 23. Dawhan 30. Fan Shuangjie 16. Feng Boxuan 36. Jia Feifan 4. Li Lei 18. Wang Yu 38. Wei J. 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 9. Zhang Yuning	27. Abduweli Behram 19. Dong Y. 9. Felipe Silva 39. Gan Chao 29. Iminqari M. 1. Jian Tao (G) 3. Jojo A. C. 23. Liao Lisheng 58. Liao Rongxiang 22. Li Y. 15. Ran Weifeng (G) 17. Wang Dongsheng
Coaches
Montgomery N.	Aloisi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Wei Shihao 🟨,
31', Hu H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Abreu F. ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
46', Wang Ziming ↓, Felipe Silva ↑,
52', Deng J. ↓, Li Lei ↑,
53', Wang Gang ↓, Cao Yongjing ↑,
62', Matheus Jussa 🟨,
62', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Zhang Yuning ⚽, Cao Yongjing (A),
73', Lin Liangming ↓, Jia Feifan ↑,
76', He Yiran ↓, Wang Dongsheng ↑,
76', Matheus Jussa ↓, Liao Lisheng ↑,
82', Konte A. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Liao Lisheng ⚽, Wei Shihao (A),
88', Liao Lisheng 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Wei Shihao ⚽, Wellington Silva (A),
90+7', Romulo ↓, Li Y. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 1.

In recent matches, Beijing Guoan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chengdu Rongcheng is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Beijing Guoan has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) He Yupeng (Foot Injury) Spajic U. (Knee Injury) Yue Tze-Nam (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Hou Sen (Inactive) Ramos G. (Injury) Wu Shaocong (Inactive) Yang Liyu (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chengdu Rongcheng: Liao Lisheng (Injury) Yao Zixuan (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	15	7	4	51:30	21	52
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	49:33	16	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
04.04.26	Liaoning Tieren - Beijing Guoan	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Shandong Taishan - Beijing Guoan	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super Cup
01.03.26	Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLWW
- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
03.04.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Qingdao West Coast	5:1 ✺
21.03.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Chengdu Rongcheng	3:3 ✺
15.03.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shenzhen Peng City	5:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.02.26	Machida Zelvia - Chengdu Rongcheng	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
26.07.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan	2:0
29.03.25	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1
14.09.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan	2:2
05.05.24	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:1
29.10.23	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:3
03.07.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan	0:1
30.06.22	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:0

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