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Current Win Probability
Beijing Institute of Technology 14.9%
Draw 24.9%
Nantong Haimen Codion 60.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.1%
28.2%
46.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
26.6%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Institute of Technology has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beijing Institute of Technology's form might have worsened.
Nantong Haimen Codion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nantong Haimen Codion's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Institute of Technology than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Institute of Technology, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantong Haimen Codion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Beijing Institute of Technology - Nantong Haimen Codion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Su Jiawei (G) 15. Longjian M. 45. Deng Jiajun 39. Zheng Zehao 26. Ren Shizhe (C) 2. Liu Tianyang 44. Li Xinyao 52. Zhao Xiangyi 21. Wang Chenyang 11. Zhang Yuye 41. Wang Z.
22. Xie Gongbo (G) 6. Yin Hanlong 23. Yu Hang 17. Bai Xianyi (C) 54. Wang Yubo 53. Cheng Yi 21. Chen Weijing 19. Zheng Lei 11. Pei Guoguang 51. Zhou Xianfeng 16. Wang Bowen
Substitutes
6. Hu Jiaqi 43. Hu Runchao 4. Jia Hanlin 23. Li Chuyu (G) 54. Li Longkun 37. Li Qiya 12. Li Xi 17. Mao Peng 20. Wang Yi 18. Wei J. 25. Yu K. 5. Zhang Teng
47. Cai Wenxuan 39. Cao Yuetao 41. Ding Jianhua 4. Kang Ruiyang 26. Liang Zhenfu (G) 30. Qi B. 32. Qi Dan 12. Sun Qinan 18. Tan Jingbo 42. Wu Yucheng 46. Xu Kunxing 7. Xu Yuese
Coaches
Yu Fei
Gao W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Bai Xianyi 🟨,
45+3', Longjian M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Pei Guoguang ↓, Xu Yuese ↑,
46', Zhou Xianfeng ↓, Tan Jingbo ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Deng Jiajun ⚽, Li Xinyao (A),
53', Li Xinyao 🟨,
62', Zhao Xiangyi ↓, Wei J. ↑,
62', Cheng Yi ↓, Cao Yuetao ↑,
62', Li Xinyao ↓, Hu Jiaqi ↑,
68', Wang Yubo ↓, Qi Dan ↑,
68', Yin Hanlong ↓, Xu Kunxing ↑,
69', Zhang Yuye ↓, Yu K. ↑,
69', Wang Z. ↓, Mao Peng ↑,
73', Deng Jiajun 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Qi Dan ⚽, Tan Jingbo (A),
90', 1 - 2, Wang Bowen ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BIT FC won 0.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Recently, BIT FC has had a series of home games.
In this match, Nantong Haimen is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, BIT FC won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, BIT FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).