The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Changchun Xidu 17.2%
Draw 26.7%
Nantong Haimen Codion 56.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.2%
30%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
30.1%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Xidu's form might have worsened.
Nantong Haimen Codion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nantong Haimen Codion's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Xidu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantong Haimen Codion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
17. Hu H. (G) 7. Wang Xin (C) 21. Wang H. 13. Wang Tianci 2. Wang Song 11. Sun Fei 10. Huang Wenzhuo 8. Yu Z. 18. Zhong Weihong 49. Feng Zijun 14. He Youzu
22. Xie Gongbo (G) 21. Chen Weijing 6. Yin Hanlong 17. Bai Xianyi (C) 19. Zheng Lei 8. Cheng Xin 59. Dai Yuanji 23. Yu Hang 11. Pei Guoguang 53. Cheng Yi 16. Wang Bowen
Substitutes
37. Li Jiaqi 24. Liu Jiahao 36. Liu Jiahao 6. Liu Yang 16. Ma Pujia 29. Memet Nuryasin 38. Rechemat Quwatbek (G) 45. Yang Jingfan 5. Yang Lei 22. Yang Xinyang (G) 23. Ye-Yang Runyi 59. Zhou Yan
47. Cai Wenxuan 41. Ding Jianhua 57. Fan Yucheng 26. Liang Zhenfu (G) 27. Luo Gaoju 32. Qi Dan 12. Sun Qinan 18. Tan Jingbo 54. Wang Yubo 46. Xu Kunxing 9. Yan Ge 51. Zhou Xianfeng
Coaches
Li Bin
Gao W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Cheng Yi ↓, Xu Kunxing ↑,
65', Sun Fei ↓, Zhou Yan ↑,
65', Feng Zijun ↓, Memet Nuryasin ↑,
65', He Youzu ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
68', Pei Guoguang ↓, Zhou Xianfeng ↑,
68', Yin Hanlong ↓, Qi Dan ↑,
90+6', Wang Xin ↓, Li Jiaqi ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
Changchun Xidu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Nantong Haimen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Changchun Xidu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nantong Haimen is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Changchun Xidu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Changchun Xidu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
China
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Hu H. (G) 
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