Match Info

Date: 5 August 2022, Friday

Referee: Yuchen Mu


	Beijing Institute of Technology		Zibo Cuju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	4.1	1.46
	4.8	4.4	1.5
	5.6	4.1	1.45
	5.66	4.67	1.49
	5.5	3.8	1.5
	6.55	4.35	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.64 ↑ (4.41)	4.24 ↑ (3.78)	1.47 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Institute of Technology
16.2%

Draw
21.6%

Zibo Cuju
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

24.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

24.2%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Institute of Technology has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Zibo Cuju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zibo Cuju's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Institute of Technology than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zibo Cuju than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zibo Cuju, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	5%	80%

Beijing Institute of Technology - Zibo Cuju Predictions

Users Predictions: Zibo Cuju will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches BIT FC won 0.

BIT FC is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Zibo Cuju is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zibo Cuju could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zibo Cuju is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches BIT FC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1-19.

Including matches at home between the teams BIT FC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Institute of Technology FC
Chinese Jia League
31.07.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
27.07.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Beijing Institute of Technology	1:0 ✺
23.07.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:2 ✺
19.07.22	Zibo Cuju - Beijing Institute of Technology	2:0 ✺
09.07.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.8 TLTLL
- Zibo Cuju
Chinese Jia League
01.08.22	Heilongjiang Ice City - Zibo Cuju	Heilongjiang Ice City awarded ✺
28.07.22	Zibo Cuju - Ningbo Professional	2:0 ✺
24.07.22	Qingdao Manatee - Zibo Cuju	4:2 ✺
19.07.22	Zibo Cuju - Beijing Institute of Technology	2:0 ✺
08.07.22	Zibo Cuju - Nantong Zhiyun	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 ?WLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
19.07.22	Zibo Cuju - Beijing Institute of Technology	2:0
08.12.21	Zibo Cuju - Beijing Institute of Technology	2:0
20.11.21	Beijing Institute of Technology - Zibo Cuju	0:2
Chinese Yi League
21.09.19	Zibo Cuju - Beijing Institute of Technology	4:0
08.06.19	Beijing Institute of Technology - Zibo Cuju	0:2
19.08.18	Zibo Cuju - Beijing Institute of Technology	5:0
12.05.18	Beijing Institute of Technology - Zibo Cuju	1:2

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