Match Info

Date: 8 July 2022, Friday


	Zibo Cuju		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.5	5.5	1.23
	11	5.5	1.2
	8.8	5.2	1.24
	10.24	5.46	1.29
	9.5	5.25	1.22
	9.1	5.4	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.69 ↑ (7.9)	5.39 ↑ (4.6)	1.25 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zibo Cuju
9.4%

Draw
17%

Nantong Zhiyun
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

20.1%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

19.7%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zibo Cuju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nantong Zhiyun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zibo Cuju than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Zibo Cuju - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zibo Cuju will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantong Zhiyun: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Zibo Cuju is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nantong Zhiyun is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Nantong Zhiyun is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zibo Cuju won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Zibo Cuju won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zibo Cuju
Chinese Jia League
04.07.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Zibo Cuju	1:0 ✺
29.06.22	Zibo Cuju - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
25.06.22	Qingdao West Coast - Zibo Cuju	0:0 ✺
21.06.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Zibo Cuju	2:1 ✺
16.06.22	Zibo Cuju - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTLT
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Jia League
03.07.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nantong Zhiyun	2:2 ✺
29.06.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao West Coast	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Nantong Zhiyun	0:3 ✺
21.06.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Zibo Cuju	2:1 ✺
17.06.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
21.06.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Zibo Cuju	2:1
25.09.21	Nantong Zhiyun - Zibo Cuju	4:2
09.09.21	Zibo Cuju - Nantong Zhiyun	0:5

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