Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 20

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Aveiro (Aveiro)


	Beira-Mar		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.65
	2.3	2.8	2.95
	2.58	2.92	2.87
	2.45	3.14	2.78
	2.44	3.05	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.32)	2.98 ↓ (3.15)	2.8 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beira-Mar
37.2%

Draw
30.4%

Lusitânia
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28.9%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

27.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beira-Mar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beira-Mar than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 3).

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Beira-Mar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Beira-Mar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Beira-Mar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.02.23	Gondomar - Beira-Mar	0:2 ✺
12.02.23	Beira-Mar - Salgueiros 08	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Rebordosa - Beira-Mar	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Beira-Mar - Alpendorada	2:1 ✺
22.01.23	Valadares Gaia - Beira-Mar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWTWW
- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.02.23	Lusitânia - Marítimo B	3:1 ✺
12.02.23	Guarda Desportiva - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Resende - Lusitânia	0:3 ✺
29.01.23	Lusitânia - Gondomar	4:0 ✺
22.01.23	Salgueiros 08 - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.11.22	Lusitânia - Beira-Mar	2:2
06.12.20	Beira-Mar - Lusitânia	1:2
Club Friendly
31.07.19	Beira-Mar - Lusitânia	2:3

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