PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 17
Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday
Location: Estádio Municipal de Aveiro (Aveiro)
Beira-Mar
Marco 09
1
X
2
2.25
2.95
2.9
2.28
3.05
3
2.21
3
3.33
2.16
3.04
3.27
2.28
3.05
3
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.24 ↓ (2.69)
3.02 ↑ (2.97)
3.1 ↑ (2.49)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Beira-Mar 40.6%
Draw 30.1%
Marco 09 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
30.3%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
31.2%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beira-Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beira-Mar's performance.
Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marco 09 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beira-Mar than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beira-Mar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marco 09 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Beira Mar - Marco 09 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Guimaraes B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
Recent matches Beira-Mar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Marco is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Beira-Mar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Beira-Mar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1