Match Info

State Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Teddy Stadium (Jerusalem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 SPORT Israel


	Beitar Jerusalem		Bnei Yehuda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.23	5.5	8.6	Watch
	1.25	5.5	10.64
	1.23	6.15	10.37	Watch
	1.29	5.92	8.2	Watch
	1.23	5.75	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.48)	5.76 ↑ (4.33)	9.46 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beitar Jerusalem
74.2%

Draw
16%

Bnei Yehuda
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

21.2%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

20.6%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beitar Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beitar Jerusalem's performance.

Bnei Yehuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bnei Yehuda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beitar Jerusalem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bnei Yehuda than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bnei Yehuda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Beitar Jerusalem - Bnei Yehuda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Miguel Silva (G) 4. Carabali B. 5. Cohen G. 14. Elimelech R. 24. Hugi D. 9. Kalu J. 29. Mendy A. 15. Micha D. 7. Shua Y. 8. Yarin L. 10. Yona A.	33. Yitzhak O. (G) 80. Bar A. 2. Berman T. 10. Dror S. 23. Kandil M. 5. Levy M. 15. Nahmias R. 14. Ratner A. 36. Shahaf E. 98. Stina V. 55. Uzana N.
Substitutes
30. Abergil R. 6. Ben Shimol Z. 40. Boris Enow 16. Cohen Y. 20. Dahan O. 44. Gonzalez E. 11. Muzie T. 22. Ozer Y. (G) 42. Tavares A.	4. Agiyapong Anum J. 11. Amer D. 8. Balulu D. 38. Hadadi B. 26. Hassan O. 1. Litvinov T. (G) 66. Nyarko J. 3. Pistiner M. 30. Piven Y.
Coaches
Itzhaki B.	Levi E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Dror S. ⚽,
33', Levy M. 🟨,
34', 🟨,
37', 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Ratner A. ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yarin L. ↓, Boris Enow ↑,
46', Mendy A. ↓, Cohen Y. ↑,
46', Hugi D. ↓, Muzie T. ↑,
55', 🟨,
56', Dror S. ↓, Hadadi B. ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Kalu J. ⚽,
68', Micha D. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
70', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
72', Miguel Silva 🟥,
73', Shua Y. 🟨,
73', Kalu J. ↓, Ozer Y. ↑,
77', Ratner A. ↓, Amer D. ↑,
77', Shahaf E. ↓, Piven Y. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beitar Jerusalem won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Beitar Jerusalem is the clear favorite.

We predict that Beitar Jerusalem will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beitar Jerusalem won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Beitar Jerusalem won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beitar Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
31.01.26	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Haifa	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	MS Ashdod - Beitar Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Beitar Jerusalem	1:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
14.01.26	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Beitar Jerusalem	0:2 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
10.01.26	Beitar Jerusalem - Maccabi Bnei Raina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWWW
- Bnei Yehuda
Israeli Liga Leumit
30.01.26	Hapoel Hadera - Bnei Yehuda	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Bnei Yehuda - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Bnei Yehuda	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
13.01.26	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Herzliya	1:0 penalties ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
09.01.26	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.07.24	Bnei Yehuda - Beitar Jerusalem	0:1
Israeli Ligat haAl
19.04.21	Beitar Jerusalem - Bnei Yehuda	2:2
11.03.21	Beitar Jerusalem - Bnei Yehuda	1:1
07.11.20	Bnei Yehuda - Beitar Jerusalem	1:0
Israeli Toto Cup
08.08.20	Bnei Yehuda - Beitar Jerusalem	0:0
Club Friendly
18.05.20	Bnei Yehuda - Beitar Jerusalem	0:3
Israeli Ligat haAl
02.02.20	Beitar Jerusalem - Bnei Yehuda	1:3

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