Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 14

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday

Location: Teddy Stadium (Jerusalem)

Referee: Shiloach A. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 SPORT Israel


	Beitar Jerusalem		Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.32	4.95	7.7
	1.36	5.12	7.84
	1.34	5.22	7.8	Watch
	1.32	4.95	8.8	Watch
	1.3	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.42)	4.96 ↑ (4.65)	7.94 ↑ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beitar Jerusalem
69.7%

Draw
18.7%

Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.1%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

19.5%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beitar Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Beitar Jerusalem will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Bnei Sakhnin will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beitar Jerusalem: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Miguel Silva (G) 18. Morozov G. 4. Carabali B. (C) 44. Gadrani L. 16. Cohen Y. 15. Micha D. 8. Yarin L. 10. Yona A. 11. Muzie T. 7. Shua Y. 9. Kalu J.	22. Abu Nil M. (G) 12. Azugi A. 2. Gantus M. 5. Abu Abaid I. (C) 3. Brucic K. 10. Cudjoe M. 23. Shamir E. 18. Abuhav O. 21. Bushnaq J. 9. Miranyan A. 29. Salman A.
Substitutes
30. Abergil R. 77. Atzili O. 6. Ben Shimol Z. 20. Dahan O. 14. Elimelech R. 24. Hugi D. 29. Mendy A. 22. Ozer Y. (G) 42. Tavares A.	77. Bdarney M. 11. Drame I. 55. Grechkin M. 24. Khuri B. 26. Korsia O. 14. Otanga G. 7. Sheikh Yosef M. 32. Suleiman M. (G) 6. Taha A.
Coaches
Itzhaki B.	Mimer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Salman A. ⚽, Azugi A. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Yona A. ⚽,
39', Yarin L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Bushnaq J. 🟨,
58', Muzie T. ↓, Atzili O. ↑,
67', Bushnaq J. ↓, Otanga G. ↑,
67', Abuhav O. ↓, Sheikh Yosef M. ↑,
78', Micha D. ↓, Ben Shimol Z. ↑,
79', Cudjoe M. ↓, Drame I. ↑,
79', Salman A. ↓, Khuri B. ↑,
82', Shamir E. ↓, Korsia O. ↑,
86', Morozov G. ↓, Elimelech R. ↑,
87', Yarin L. ↓, Hugi D. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Yona A. ⚽, Atzili O. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beitar Jerusalem won 2.

Beitar Jerusalem is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bnei Sakhnin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Beitar Jerusalem is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beitar Jerusalem won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Beitar Jerusalem won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beitar Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
08.12.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Ironi Tiberias - Beitar Jerusalem	0:5 ✺
30.11.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Maccabi Netanya	4:2 ✺
09.11.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Beitar Jerusalem	2:6 ✺
03.11.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWWL
- Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
Israeli Ligat haAl
08.12.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	0:1 ✺
02.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Maccabi Haifa	3:3 ✺
01.11.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
25.08.25	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Beitar Jerusalem	1:2
Israeli State Cup
03.04.25	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Beitar Jerusalem	Beitar Jerusalem awarded
Israeli Ligat haAl
25.01.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	1:0
05.11.24	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Beitar Jerusalem	2:1
17.02.24	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Beitar Jerusalem	2:1
16.12.23	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	1:1
16.04.23	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Beitar Jerusalem	4:3

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