Match Info

State Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 SPORT Israel


	Ironi Tiberias		Beitar Jerusalem

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.9	4.85	1.32
	6.58	4.44	1.43	Watch
	7.9	4.6	1.32	Watch
	6.66	5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.01 ↑ (6.78)	4.72 ↓ (4.75)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ironi Tiberias
13.1%

Draw
19.4%

Beitar Jerusalem
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

19.1%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

18.6%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Tiberias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Beitar Jerusalem have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Tiberias than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+2%)

Ironi Tiberias - Beitar Jerusalem Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Hadida G. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Atzili O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 2, Gotlieb N. (Own goal),
88', Yitzhak O. 🟥,

Preview

Ironi Tiberias has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beitar Jerusalem is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Beitar Jerusalem is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ironi Tiberias won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ironi Tiberias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Tiberias
Israeli Ligat haAl
20.12.25	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Hapoel Haifa - Ironi Tiberias	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	MS Ashdod - Ironi Tiberias	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Ironi Tiberias - Beitar Jerusalem	0:5 ✺
29.11.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Ironi Tiberias	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 WLTLW
- Beitar Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
22.12.25	Maccabi Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem	1:2 ✺
15.12.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	2:1 ✺
08.12.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Ironi Tiberias - Beitar Jerusalem	0:5 ✺
30.11.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Maccabi Netanya	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
03.12.25	Ironi Tiberias - Beitar Jerusalem	0:5
23.12.24	Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Tiberias	1:1
31.08.24	Ironi Tiberias - Beitar Jerusalem	1:0
Israeli State Cup
03.01.23	Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Tiberias	2:1 penalties

Upcoming Matches