Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 19

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday


	Beitar Yavne		Hapoel Marmorek

	1	X	2
	2	3.15	3.3
	2.04	3.07	3.44
	2.01	3.26	3.46	Watch
	2.02	3.13	3.5
	2	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.05)	3.14 ↓ (3.41)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beitar Yavne
44.9%

Draw
28.8%

Hapoel Marmorek
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.8%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

28.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beitar Yavne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Hapoel Marmorek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beitar Yavne than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Marmorek than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Beitar Yavne - Hapoel Marmorek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, David Y. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Wabo O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', Ashkenazi Y. 🟨,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).

In recent matches, Beitar Yavne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hapoel Marmorek is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Beitar Yavne could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Beitar Yavne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	H. Marmorek	5	1	1	3	4:6	-2	4

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Marmorek - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.58%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beitar Yavne
Israeli Liga Alef South
29.01.26	Hapoel Azor - Beitar Yavne	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Beitar Yavne - Jerusalem FC	0:3 ✺
16.01.26	Tzeirei Tira - Beitar Yavne	0:1 ✺
09.01.26	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Beitar Yavne	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Beitar Yavne - Kfar Saba 1928	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWLT
- Hapoel Marmorek
Israeli Liga Alef South
30.01.26	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Marmorek	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Azor	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Marmorek	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Tzeirei Tira - Hapoel Marmorek	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Marmorek - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
26.09.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Beitar Yavne	1:3

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