Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 17

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	Beitar Yavne		Jerusalem FC

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.5	1.9
	3.59	3.74	1.83	Watch
	3.61	3.52	1.85
	3.6	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.64)	3.59 ↑ (3.2)	1.85 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Beitar Yavne
25.6%

Draw
25.2%

Jerusalem FC
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.4%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

27%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beitar Yavne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beitar Yavne's form might have worsened.

Jerusalem FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jerusalem FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beitar Yavne than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beitar Yavne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jerusalem FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Beitar Yavne - Jerusalem FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Ashram O. (Own goal),
39', Seneor D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 2, Avraham Y. ⚽,
59', 0 - 3, Schwartz M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Beitar Yavne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jerusalem FC	5	3	2	0	9:4	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beitar Yavne
Israeli Liga Alef South
16.01.26	Tzeirei Tira - Beitar Yavne	0:1 ✺
09.01.26	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Beitar Yavne	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Beitar Yavne - Kfar Saba 1928	1:1 ✺
02.01.26	Maccabi Yavne - Beitar Yavne	2:2 ✺
19.12.25	Beitar Yavne - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLTTW
- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
16.01.26	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Marmorek	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Azor	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Holon Yermiyahu - Jerusalem FC	3:3 ✺
01.01.26	Tzeirei Tira - Jerusalem FC	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Jerusalem FC - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
12.09.25	Jerusalem FC - Beitar Yavne	4:0

Upcoming Matches