Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 16

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Jerusalem FC		Hapoel Marmorek

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.45	6.7
	1.39	4.6	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.45	6.67
	1.38	4.33	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)	4.46 ↑ (4.1)	6.55 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerusalem FC
65.7%

Draw
20.4%

Hapoel Marmorek
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

22.2%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

21.4%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerusalem FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Hapoel Marmorek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Marmorek than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Marmorek Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, David Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 🟥,
90', 0 - 2, Al Mahona D. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, Almahona D. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Jerusalem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jerusalem is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jerusalem won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Jerusalem won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jerusalem FC	5	3	2	0	9:4	5	11
14	H. Marmorek	5	1	1	3	4:6	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
09.01.26	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Azor	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Holon Yermiyahu - Jerusalem FC	3:3 ✺
01.01.26	Tzeirei Tira - Jerusalem FC	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Jerusalem FC - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Kfar Saba 1928 - Jerusalem FC	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTLWW
- Hapoel Marmorek
Israeli Liga Alef South
09.01.26	Tzeirei Tira - Hapoel Marmorek	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Marmorek - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Kfar Saba 1928 - Hapoel Marmorek	0:1 ✺
18.12.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Yavne	0:2 ✺
11.12.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Marmorek	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
05.09.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Jerusalem FC	1:2
27.12.24	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Marmorek	2:2

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