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Current Win Probability
Belasitsa Petrich 31%
Draw 28.9%
Minyor Pernik 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
30%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
29.6%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belasitsa Petrich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belasitsa Petrich's form might have worsened.
Minyor Pernik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minyor Pernik's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belasitsa Petrich than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belasitsa Petrich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minyor Pernik than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minyor Pernik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
12. Karparov A. (G) 9. Ahisu P. O. 7. Dimitrov Z. 16. Ergin V. 24. Filchev I. 99. Ivanov D. 18. Karakashev G. 14. Marchev I. 10. Smilkov A. 6. Todorski M. 5. Yaramov D.
1. Goshev I. (G) 8. Cassiano 3. Chilikov P. 4. Orachev M. 10. Petrov V. 30. Romanyuk E. 15. Tarasenko D. 2. Todorov S. 22. Vutsov P. 9. Yordanov P. 13. Yordanov Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Belasitsa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belasitsa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Belasitsa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).