Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Tsar Samuil (Petrich)


	Belasitsa Petrich		Marek Dupnitsa

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.92	2.08
	2.73	3.08	2.49	Watch
	4.07	2.92	1.96	Watch
	2.6	3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.4)	2.98 ↑ (2.9)	2.27 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belasitsa Petrich
28.5%

Draw
30.9%

Marek Dupnitsa
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belasitsa Petrich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belasitsa Petrich's form might have worsened.

Marek Dupnitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marek Dupnitsa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belasitsa Petrich than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belasitsa Petrich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marek Dupnitsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Belasitsa Petrich - Marek Dupnitsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Marek will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marek: 64.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Marek (2.92) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Marek (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marek Dupnitsa will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Marek (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Georgiev K. (G) 9. Ahisu P. 88. Gamakov M. 99. Ivanov D. 18. Karakashev G. 19. Petrov H. 10. Smilkov A. 6. Todorski M. 77. Tonny 5. Yaramov D. 21. Yordanov K.	21. Kostadinov K. (G) 9. Dimitrov I. 14. Dzhadzharov H. 88. George E. 44. Kaymakanski H. 33. Kirilov D. 16. Mechev S. 94. Nenov Y. 2. Nikolov B. 77. Veshev S. 18. Yordanov R.
Substitutes
11. Bozhinov V. 90. Dimitrov Z. 24. Filchev I. 12. Karparov A. (G) 14. Marchev I. 8. Santana Y. 7. Shamkalov A. 91. Yanev V. 28. Yergin V.	35. Kavdanski M. 19. Kouakou W. 12. Mladenov P. (G) 13. Nikiforov K. 55. Plyakov N. 27. Todorov N. 6. Yanev V. 10. Zakonov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Belasitsa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Marek's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Belasitsa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Belasitsa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Belasitsa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belasitsa Petrich
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.10.25	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Belasitsa Petrich	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Belasitsa Petrich	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:3 ✺
15.09.25	Ludogorets II - Belasitsa Petrich	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLTLT
- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.10.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Dunav Ruse	1:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
12.10.25	Septemvri Tervel - Marek Dupnitsa	0:3 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.10.25	Vihren Sandanski - Marek Dupnitsa	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Marek Dupnitsa - CSKA Sofia II	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.02.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Marek Dupnitsa	1:0
11.08.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Belasitsa Petrich	1:0
25.02.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Belasitsa Petrich	1:0
15.08.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0

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