Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Belenenses U19		Leiria U19

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.15
	2.17	3.18	3.11
	2.07	3.33	3.23
	2.09	3.55	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.64)	3.33 ↓ (3.38)	3.18 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses U19
43.7%

Draw
27.5%

Leiria U19
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.8%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belenenses U19's performance.

Leiria U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leiria U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses U19 than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belenenses U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria U19 than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leiria U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Belenenses U19 - Leiria U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group: )).

Belenenses U19 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leiria U19 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Belenenses U19 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Belenenses U19 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belenenses U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
13.12.25	Belenenses U19 - Benfica U19	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Santa Clara U19 - Belenenses U19	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Belenenses U19 - Tondela U19	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Belenenses U19 - Académico de Viseu U19	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Belenenses U19 - Mafra U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLLW
- Leiria U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
13.12.25	Leiria U19 - Académico de Viseu U19	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Benfica U19 - Leiria U19	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Leiria U19 - Mafra U19	6:3 ✺
08.11.25	Torreense U19 - Leiria U19	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Leiria U19 - Santa Clara U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
20.09.25	Leiria U19 - Belenenses U19	3:0

Belenenses U19 - Leiria U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide