Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Round 9

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Leiria U19		Mafra U19

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.35	2.85
	2.37	3.34	2.57
	2.15	3.51	2.91
	2.3	3.3	2.5
	2.15	3.35	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.13)	3.37 ↓ (3.39)	2.74 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria U19
40.5%

Draw
26.7%

Mafra U19
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.4%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.4%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Mafra U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria U19 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra U19 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Leiria U19 - Mafra U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9th in the Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: ) and 7th in the Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: )).

Recent results have been tough for Leiria U19 (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Mafra U19 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Leiria U19 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Leiria U19 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:6 (averaging 4.5:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leiria U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiria U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
17.10.26	Farense U19 - Leiria U19	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Leiria U19 - Alverca U19	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Torreense U19 - Leiria U19	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Leiria U19 - Oriental U19	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Leiria U19 - Santa Clara U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLTL
- Mafra U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
17.10.26	Mafra U19 - Casa Pia U19	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Mafra U19	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Mafra U19 - Benfica U19	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Santa Clara U19 - Mafra U19	7:0 ✺
05.09.26	Farense U19 - Mafra U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
22.11.25	Leiria U19 - Mafra U19	6:3
27.09.25	Mafra U19 - Leiria U19	3:3

Leiria U19 - Mafra U19