Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 22

Date: 11 November 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra (Cordoba)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Belgrano		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	3	Watch
	2.5	2.9	3
	2.55	2.92	3.05	Watch
	2.61	2.95	3.16
	2.58	2.93	3.11	Watch
	2.45	3	3
	2.52	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.55	2.92	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.25)	2.96 ↓ (3.12)	3.05 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
37.1%

Draw
31.9%

Instituto Córdoba
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

30.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

29.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Belgrano - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Instituto will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chicco I. (G) 2. Leguizamon A. 6. Rebola A. 33. Delgado R. 8. Compagnucci G. 24. Gonzalez F. 23. Quignon F. 15. Menossi L. 42. Lucco J. 53. Velazquez J. 29. Jara F. (C)	28. Roffo M. (G) 2. Franco J. 31. Requena G. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 18. Rodriguez L. 19. Lodico G. A. 47. Dubersarsky N. 22. Puebla D. 11. Batallini D. 7. Rodriguez G. 29. Russo I.
Substitutes
39. Argayo L. (G) 19. Chavarria P. 35. Facello F. 34. Heredia G. 51. Hernandes R. 26. Lencioni F. 13. Meriano N. 43. Rami F. 16. Rolon E. 7. Suarez M. 21. Tapia I. 37. Troilo M.	8. Acevedo J. 12. Bay J. 5. Bochi R. 36. Cabrera V. 4. Cerato G. 30. Diaz F. 16. Lazaro J. 17. Lo Celso F. 34. Moreyra S. 38. Papaleo J. (G) 10. Romero S. 9. Suarez F.
Coaches
Real J.	Dabove D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Jara F. ⚽, Compagnucci G. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Alarcon F. R. ⚽, Rodriguez L. (A),
23', Suarez F. 🟨,
29', Leguizamon A. 🟨,
36', 2 - 1, Lucco J. ⚽, Compagnucci G. (A),
45', Requena G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Lucco J. ↓, Chavarria P. ↑,
61', Lodico G. A. 🟨,
62', Batallini D. ↓, Acevedo J. ↑,
62', Lodico G. A. ↓, Lo Celso F. ↑,
73', Delgado R. 🟨,
74', Russo I. ↓, Romero S. ↑,
74', Rodriguez G. ↓, Lazaro J. ↑,
76', Moreyra S. 🟨,
76', Chicco I. 🟨,
77', Jara F. ↓, Rolon E. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Chavarria P. ⚽, Quignon F. (A),
80', Chavarria P. 🟨,
80', Puebla D. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
87', Lo Celso F. 🟥,
88', Velazquez J. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
90', Romero S. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Belgrano: Daniele M. (Injury) Fernandez N. (Toe Injury) Passerini L. (Injury) Sanchez U. (Injury)

There will not play in Instituto: Lazaro J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Belgrano: Suarez M. (Illness)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.11.24	Banfield - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Belgrano - Platense	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLTLT
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.11.24	Instituto Córdoba - River Plate	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Racing - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Instituto Córdoba - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Instituto Córdoba	3:2 ✺
05.10.24	Instituto Córdoba - San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.07.23	Instituto Córdoba - Belgrano	1:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.08.22	Belgrano - Instituto Córdoba	1:0
Copa Argentina
08.04.15	Belgrano - Instituto Córdoba	0:1 penalties

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