Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 18

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra (Cordoba)

Referee: Balino J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Belgrano		Platense

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.88	3.5	Watch
	2.35	2.75	3.5
	2.35	2.88	3.4	Watch
	2.45	2.8	3.66
	2.43	2.8	3.56	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.8
	2.36	2.91	3.52	Watch
	2.35	2.88	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.2)	2.85 ↓ (2.91)	3.54 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
40.2%

Draw
33.2%

Platense
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

32.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

31.9%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	45.5%	27.3%

Belgrano - Platense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Platense will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Espinola J. (G) 2. Leguizamon A. 37. Troilo M. 33. Delgado R. 8. Compagnucci G. 16. Rolon E. 23. Quignon F. 53. Velazquez J. 24. Gonzalez F. 22. Fernandez N. 19. Chavarria P.	31. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Barros Schelotto B. 13. Vazquez I. 6. Suso G. 18. Marcich S. 5. Villalba C. 14. Picco L. 7. Mainero G. 16. Taborda V. 26. Schor I. 9. Pellegrino M.
Substitutes
45. Baldi A. 1. Chicco I. (G) 35. Facello F. 34. Heredia G. 26. Lencioni F. 42. Lucco J. 10. Marin M. 15. Menossi L. 13. Meriano N. 11. Reyna B. 7. Suarez M. 21. Tapia I.	11. Baldassarra F. 30. Cervera T. 1. Desabato A. (G) 21. Gomez I. 20. Hachen G. 47. Marquez De Meneses R. L. 77. Martinez R. 43. Montenegro L. S. 10. Ocampo A. 27. Quiroga A. 25. Saborido J. 24. Salomon O.
Coaches
Real J.	Gomez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Velazquez J. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
62', Villalba C. 🟨,
63', Rolon E. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
63', Chavarria P. ↓, Suarez M. ↑,
64', Schor I. ↓, Cervera T. ↑,
64', Taborda V. ↓, Baldassarra F. ↑,
80', Pellegrino M. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
81', Gonzalez F. ↓, Lucco J. ↑,
82', Compagnucci G. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
83', Delgado R. 🟨,
87', Mainero G. ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽, Ocampo A. (A),
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 19).

Belgrano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Platense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Belgrano will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Belgrano: Passerini L. (Injury) Sanchez U. (Injury)

There will not play in Platense: Lozano R. (Injury) Martinez R. (Injury) Pignani J. (Injury) Rius C. (Injury) Zapiola F. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.10.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Belgrano - Boca Juniors	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Atlético Tucumán - Belgrano	2:4 ✺
14.09.24	Belgrano - Independiente	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Newells Old Boys - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TWWTT
- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.10.24	Platense - River Plate	0:0 ✺
30.09.24	Racing - Platense	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Platense - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Platense - San Lorenzo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.02.24	Platense - Belgrano	1:1
21.09.23	Belgrano - Platense	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.05.23	Platense - Belgrano	1:0
Copa Argentina
25.05.22	Platense - Belgrano	1:2 penalties

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