Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Belgrano 2		Argentinos Juniors 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.4	5
	1.71	3.4	4.6
	1.71	3.3	4.58
	1.72	3.39	4.75	Watch
	1.66	3.44	4.88
	1.71	3.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.44)	3.39 ↓ (3.95)	4.74 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano 2
54%

Draw
26.8%

Argentinos Juniors 2
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

23.1%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

21.9%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgrano 2's form might have worsened.

Argentinos Juniors 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentinos Juniors 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Belgrano 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Heredia G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Zelarayan G. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

Belgrano 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Belgrano 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Belgrano 2 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Belgrano 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.05.25	Tigre 2 - Belgrano 2	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Belgrano 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
30.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Belgrano 2	2:2 ✺
24.04.25	Belgrano 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Belgrano 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTTW
- Argentinos Juniors 2
Argentinian Reserve League
14.05.25	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:1 ✺
06.05.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Central Córdoba 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:2 ✺
15.04.25	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Aldosivi 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
31.07.24	Belgrano 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	2:1
21.02.24	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Belgrano 2	0:2
16.02.23	Belgrano 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	2:1

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