Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Newells Old Boys 2		Argentinos Juniors 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.2	3.8
	1.88	3.25	3.8
	1.89	3.35	4.26
	1.87	3.25	4.08	Watch
	1.91	3	4
	1.89	3.58	3.83
	1.88	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.87)	3.27 ↑ (3.22)	3.94 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys 2
48.7%

Draw
28%

Argentinos Juniors 2
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

29%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Argentinos Juniors 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Newells Old Boys 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Russo J. ⚽,
85', 2 - 0, Plaza J. ⚽,
87', Echevarria U. 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Newells Old Boys 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
29.04.25	Tigre 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:1 ✺
22.04.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:2 ✺
15.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:0 ✺
10.04.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	0:1 ✺
02.04.25	Barracas Central 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW
- Argentinos Juniors 2
Argentinian Reserve League
29.04.25	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Central Córdoba 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:2 ✺
15.04.25	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Aldosivi 2	0:1 ✺
10.04.25	Banfield 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
01.04.25	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
28.04.23	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:0
20.06.22	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:0

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